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Thursday, October 7, 2010

Some of comments on EPC projects








Some of the gains that I earned when I worked as a Project Manager are as follows:

1) In E.P.C contracts (client side):

- Approach of the client should be always help to executive factors (Consulting Engineers, Main and Sub Contractors) to reach his target. The client and his representatives should know that only someone does not take a mistake who does not work. Of course, the client should have the concern about balancing of Time and Energy (Cost) during execution his project.

- The client should obtain enough information from his project before to put out to tender for instance, to estimate time and cost of the project (Items price list or break down price list). Therefore, he needs to have basic and details engineering and details time schedule.

- It is suggested to client that details time schedule presented by main contractor is enclosed as an article of shipment documents included in Sales contract so that main contractor could not supply any machinery at the site before commencement date of civil work or erection work. Because main contractors are not usually interested in doing their obligations in Construction contract (“C” in EPC) and they will take the most their benefits by Procurement of equipment and Engineering (“P&E” in EPC) that these margins are often more than P.B.G (Performance Bank Guarantee) presented by main contractor.

-Break down price lists should be checked exactly because it is possible that shipment of a machine only absorbs 50% of L/C.

-Details time schedule should truly be designed so that it should be established a logical relation among shipments and progress of civil and erection works.

-When a new revision of the document ( contract, appendix, DWG, data sheet and so on) is issued by Contractor, we should check it out not only the cases are depended on decisions of the meeting but also other parts of the document should be controlled word to word and number to number. For instance, one of the projects, I remember that we had discussed about mechanical specifications of machinery (App 3 from Sales contract) at the meeting. But I saw that it had been deleted some civil work specifications in another part of new revision APP (3) by Contractor so that total difference cost was more than one million Euro. So I remember that the basic elevation code (BM) had been changed in new revision of DWG related to site plan so that it was caused a subject of claim.

2) In Engineering:

-The most important thing to present a new design in the field of Engineering is to collect and select the exact basic data. In fact, the calculation note and engineering software help us to increase the rate of analysis so that the feedbacks show us the confirmation or non-confirmation of basic data. Therefore, we should know that engineering tools (software and calculations) do two works for us: 1) to analyze of basic data 2) to proceed toward the limits (for saving of cost and time).

- We should have the concern about a new design because it brings us the new science production and the innovation. Therefore, we should double check our design by locally information, previous executed designs, references, returning analysis, and using of other calculator engineers and vice versa. It means, when engineers proceed to design and calculate of some details in the fields of civil, mechanic, process, electric and so on, they should guess the details of final design completely before starting of the calculation by using of locally information, other projects just like to this project, returning analysis, references etc.
An optimum design will guide us toward the exact estimation and saving of money and time. For example: I remember that I rejected basic and details engineering of Electrical Substation Building in one of the projects so that the new revision had been changed from 2500 m2( Area) to 750 m2 and total saving money was about 800000 Euro accompanied by 6 months saving time. In another project, I remember that some basic data for designing of utilities system (Cooling Towers, Steam Generators, Electrical system etc) had been changed logically and according to real consumptions and over lap (contemporary) percentages. For instance, I rejected basic engineering of sewage water (Domestic + foul water) and raw water treatment because of inlet volume (basic data) so that finally it had been changed from 6 m3/day to 1.5 m3/day. Therefore, when a project manager receives a new design from engineering department, he should spend money to obtain other designs to be produced by calculator engineers out side of his company for comparing with this new design because he is expected to find out the best way to reach the target of project. Of course, a project manager should care about locally information, previous executed designs, references, returning analysis too.

- Before final approving of details engineering included DWGs, data sheets and so on, the executive engineers and site manager should check them because a designing and calculating engineer usually works in 2Dimentioal system but an executive engineer always works in 3Dimentioal space ( the site engineers should sign all of these documents).

3) In Project Control:

- Since preparing of a details time schedule (CPM) is the most important item in EPC projects, if we increase the number of activities accompanied by relationships among them, we will be able to lead the project smoothly. In fact, a significant CPM should present us details activities. Therefore, basic data are very important just like to engineering field.
-A good project controller should be able to have a good friendship with engineers in engineering department, engineers at the site, financial department, commercial department, and coordination among them. Because he/she is someone who is supposed to establish a logical cash flow compatible with engineering activities, civil and erection activities, procurement ( shipments) by tracking of critical paths.
-I think, it will be valuable that a project manager spend money to get several details time schedule from different sources.
-A good project controller should track compatibility between primary cost estimating and cash flow in addition to other tracking every day (for presenting warning to project manager).
-Engineering department, site manager, financial department, and commercial department should sign the details time schedule (CPM).

3) In General:

- I learned that I must try to solve of the problem because I would be had to study for collecting and selecting of information and analyzing them (someone will study who needs it).

-I learned that the precision, courage, presumption, and bravery accompanied by perseverance and endeavor in accordance with logical bases are the most important factors for solving of the problems.

- It has helped me so that I think that I am able to fulfill any obligations. Of course, if I would be interested in taking the responsibility.

- When we look at to a simple contract, we should care about five points as follows:

1) Obligations 2) Total cost 3) Overall time schedule 4) Procedure of payments 5) Guarantee

-The approach of project manager should be to reach the target by the best way (the balance of time and energy). Therefore, he should bear in mind that the best way will be earned by spending money in the field of Engineering and to obtain several designs. In the result, three points have been raised concerning this mentioned:

1) The development of the world 2) Innovation and creative power 3) Increasing of job opportunity

-Every project will smoothly move and be successfully fulfilled the least Time and Energy (Cost), if all of people involved in this project as well as know and accept the target of project. In the circumstances, the attractive concepts similar to Excessive Generosity, Hardworking, Perseverance, Honest, Reliable, Love, Truthfulness and so no will be raised. Of course, it is very hard because we have two cases as follows:

1)Training: All of people involved in the project should be familiar and learn about the target of the project.
2)To define the aim of the project (What is the problem): All of people involved in the project should accept the target of the project and it is very difficult (Actually, what is the problem?).


In negotiation:

- Each time we become nervous, we have to pay the cost of it. In fact, it will be the goodwill for the correspondent.

In negotiation:

- At the meeting, when we are obliged to think, we will be at the extreme of weakness and we have to surrender and give up (in fact, this is the important principal of our life. When we are thinking to solve of the problem, we are at the extreme of weakness and the problem is at the extreme of power). Therefore, we should quickly say to the correspondent (at the meeting): “Let me check it and reply to you ASAP” or “What’s your mean, I don’t understand it” and so on.

- I think, the point “P” of the article “The executive methods for solving of the problem (part 1) and example (9) of part 2” will be useful us for negotiation. For instance, we can decrease the quotation of the contractor by it. Of course, there is always the red line of price for the contractor.

On the other hand, this point can be as well as used for monitoring of the project.

In negotiation:

The best consequence of the meeting is to reach a Win-Win result. What are the superiority conditions to this outcome?
I think, if both parties (seller and Buyer) have had enough information from project (details), the result of the meeting will be Win- Win.
Which parts of the projects have we the lacks of information?
Let us analyze “EPC” as follows:

- E = Management + Engineering
- P = Management + Engineering + tools + raw materials + labor force
- C = Management + Engineering + labor force

Where:

Technology = Engineering + tools

According to above mentioned, the lacks of information are as follows:

- What is the price of Management?
- What is the price of Technology?
- What is the price of Labor force?
- What is the price of Raw materials?

For answering to these questions, we have to refer the Economics models for instance, Capitalism, Marxism, and so on but it is possible that we cannot find our answers by these models any time. Therefore, let us abandon to reply above questions and make a new hypothesis that it is named “Outsourcing.”

The hypothesis of Outsourcing:

The definition of “outsourcing’ is to transfer technology from Company ‘A” (seller) to company “B’ (buyer) so that the new technology will be replaced by company A and where Buyer will be the same Seller.

I think, the procedure will be below cited:

We assume that company “A” (seller) and company “B” (buyer) are negotiating on price of the goods produced by company A at time of “t.”
Let us see their negotiation:

Company A: we cannot decrease the price of our goods
Company B: we cannot accept your price for these goods
Company A: It is ok. If you produce these goods by our technology, we will buy your productions the same price (our price)

If company B (buyer) confirms the new idea of company A, he will take delivery of technology and sell his production to company A with the price at time of “t.”
Of course, company “A” has to deduct the price of his goods for gaining of more benefit before negotiation with company “B.”
(Now a days, we see that price of goods are decreased that it can be the best situation for outsourcing).

At this time, Outsourcing is started.

Where Buyer (company B) will have the sense about the price of Management, Engineering and so on just like to Seller (company A).

If company ‘A” can not produce the new technology, he will be confronted with the huge risk and disaster in the future. Therefore, it is possible that company “A” uses from Third law and outsource the technology to company ‘B” little by little and systematically.
Another risk for company “A’ is to be proceeded company “B” toward new technology similar to company “A.” I think, in this case, there is not any problem because the actual price of Management and Engineering will be discovered by competition between company “A” and “B.” In fact, this type of risk will be the fault of company “A.”

If the circulation of outsourcing as well as works, we will have the result as follows in the future:

Some companies in the world will only produce the science and new technology so that workshops will be the same laboratories and labors and engineers receive the salary in lieu of learning and teaching.

Some companies in the world continue to produce the goods by previous technology.

In fact, the world will be just similar to football game where the players are the same companies, the ball is the same the technology (previous and new technologies), and companies will pass the ball each other because of the actual price of Management and Engineering.

Actually, what is the problem? (part8)

Referring to previous article in order to analyze the problem with mathematics tools, I think that there is at least one difference between Topology and Boundary Conditions Method as follows:
While I was working on a new model of motion where we have high rate of entropy, I was led toward Three-Dimensional waves. As you know, we will be able to discover energy reserves into the Earth such as crude oil or ground water aquifers or even find out metallic mines easily by having a true analysis of Three-Dimensional wave equation.
Of course, the analysis of it is very hard in which we want to work on Multi-dimensional wave. I think there is a very important difference among analysis tools. For instance, when we analyze it by using of boundary conditions method such as Non-linear FEM, we have always: 0 But, by using of Topology or Complex numbers, we will have at least a point where the result will be 0=1.

Anyways, today my slogan is: the patience vs. the Uncertainty. I think that we have to change our approach from discovering of new Energy resources to saving of the Energy. Why? Nowadays, we can see the high fluctuation in stock markets, commodities and so on. The uncertainty is caused that any new project would not be successfully fulfilled because we will not have the real estimate about our quotation price. Consequently, we have to protect our ideas about new resources of the Energy in our brain. It means that we should be the patience vs. uncertainty. In fact, it will push us to save the Energy. For instance, if we assume all of trailers and small companies are the particles of clay (soil) suspended in a glass of water (Uncertainty) and Sodium hexametaphosphate (SHMP) is a discriminator material to break down clay as Technology, we have to spend the energy to suspend clay in water forever. But by saving of energy, we decrease internal energy of suspended mixture so that even by increasing of external energy, the deposit of the particles will finally occur and we will have a decline of uncertainty. In addition, when we save the energy, we are generating amount of energy equal to our saved energy in the nature. Besides, the mentality of energy saving could lead us toward finding out new ideas about storing of energy. It could be the similar to power electric storing into boxes (BATTERIES or CAPACITORS) where we can invent and develop new ideas which will be changed to new innovation and produced new generation of Batteries in the near future. For instance, it is possible we will be able to reserve more than 1MW power electric in the boxes of sphere or ball frame with the diameter less than 1meter in the near future. Of course, it will be invented after the ending of UNCERTAINTY season (Another Industry Revolution).
I think that the core technology which will be used to produce the new generation of these Capacitors is the same for discovering of the new energy resources in the future.

Pending………..

Actually, what is the problem? (part7)

When the number of consumers in the world is dramatically increasing, the new Universal Constant Laws must be discovered by Human compatible with natural laws otherwise it will be led toward to be deleted the consumers.
As a matter of fact, there are only two ways:
1) To find out the new Universal Constant Laws.
These laws are just like to the supports of the world so that the world will be able to continue a stable equilibrium for another limited time.
Since these laws are the constant, they could be used in all apply sciences such as Financial, Judgment, Engineering, and Medicine and so on.
For example, in accordance with mechanic of materials, when we increase the dimensions (X,Y) of a paper sheet, the moment inertia will be decreased that it is caused a considerable fall on bending rigidity and finally overturning . But if we increase the number of supports under paper sheet, it will be vice versa (an increase on moment inertia ….).
Another example is about learning of second language. Definitely we as a beginner of second language cannot smoothly speak but when we use from some phrases among our sentences that they have been adopted from regular laws of grammar, we feel that we are continuously speaking thus our self-confidence will go up to improve our skills. In fact, grammar’s laws are the same supports.
And so, the supports of the world are the Universal constant laws.
2) Not to discover the new Universal Constant Laws.
In this case, the consumers (dimensions of paper sheet) will be increased without any supports that it will be caused a overturning in the world (only with a sharp fluctuation (crude oil price) just like to financial crisis).
I remember that I wrote an example in this article as follows:
“Perhaps, one of the most important problems is to control and use of wild energies in the nature. I do not know, probably one day in the future, the people in the world will wish to have an earthquake in their areas”.
There are two concepts about above mentioned:
-If the source of energy will be finished in the world, the people wish to have an earthquake to die. Of course, the death is the easiest way.
-If we will be able to control the wild energies such as earthquake for using of their energies, the people wish to have an earthquake in their locations.
Of course, using of wild energies in the nature is a dream for us now. But I think that we should have the concern about some things as follows:
Nowadays, some of the people use from the inner energy of earth (for instance, hydrothermal energy) but it could not help us because we need to absorb the huge amount of these energies in a few minutes. We assume that a location has a potential for earthquake with a scale of 7.5 Richter equal to 747.6 PJ. According to Energy Conservation Law, if we absorb this amount of energy (747.6 PJ) during the limited time before happening of earthquake, there will not occur the earthquake in the future. It means that we will be compelled to have a high velocity of energy absorption.
Now, we should look at to our available theories and tools:
-The new theories of quantum mechanic
-Topology theory
-Mixed number theory
- Nonlinear Finite Element theory
-Fourier theorem (Analysis & synthesis)
Maybe, all above cases are only defining a theory.
Do we need other laws to solve above problem?
How could we be sure if we need to a new tool or law for solving of the problem?
Which law could be considered as a Universal Constant Law?
How can we discover a new Universal Constant Law?
Refer to my last article, we have:
“As a fact, Mathematics moves from infinity to boundaries but Art and Philosophy move from boundaries to infinity”
Therefore, everywhere philosophy, mathematics and art have the crossing points, there will be discovered a new Universal Constant law. This is the same Analysis Philosophy or Physics theory.
As a result, the new Universal Constant Laws will be raised only by using of natural laws no by Human.

"To be continued..."

Actually, what is the problem? (part6)

In additional to my interest, I think that I have to study Mathematics because we find it anywhere for instance, Static science and Mechanic of Materials are as well as used in Dental Surgery (Implant, Bridge and Ortodency) where:
Sum Fx, Fy, Fz = 0, Sum Mx, My, Mz = 0

“As a fact, Mathematics moves from infinity to boundaries but Art and Philosophy move from boundaries to infinity”.

It means that there is “uncertainty” in Art and Philosophy but no for Mathematics (you can read my article of “uncertainty” here: https://www.xing.com/app/forum?op=showarticles;id=17983633 :
I think that some people have the ability of passing “uncertainty” phase:
- They are someone who are not obliged to solve the problem. In accordance with Weiler’s law: “the solving of any problem is not impossible for them”. ……….).

For example, we assume that Gold, Money and Energy are equal to Art, Philosophy and Mathematics. When you buy 1 gram of Gold, you don not really control that it is gold 18 or 24 carats fine and so about actual worth of Money (because of inflation). But the released energy by 1 liter Gasoline is always approximately 40000 kJ (5500 kJ/mole).

Apparently, it is the reason behind of Industrial Revolution in Europe so that we think the revolution in Mathematics always creates the change toward a better life in the world.
It is right but revolution in Mathematics is not possible without helping of Art and Philosophy.

I believe that Mathematics is a mandatory but it is not enough. In fact, Art and Philosophy are feeder resource of Mathematics. For instance, I think that some paintings of Pablo Picasso (1881 – 1973) were the source of the development for new theories of Quantum mechanic at the beginning of 20 century.

I do not know maybe there is another model for instance; Mathematics and philosophy are two sides of a Paradox so that Art will be able to help them. I would like to tell you all of methods that we used to solve of our exercises in Math and Physics at university, we can use them for solving of our problems in our life but it is not enough.

"To be continued..."

Actually, what is the problem? (part5)

Here is another example for using of physics in economic:

“I think that one of the best temporary solutions for financial crisis is to use Kelvin model (dashpot + spring) where the pressure is the same Inflation.
Of course, there are two important factors for using of this model as follows:

1) Since Kelvin model works only for constant pressure, it should be anticipated a maximum inflation for programming in the future.
2) Economic can not alone balance inflation among springs and dashpots. Therefore, it needs to profit by Sociology science.
Perhaps, Kelvin model was the final result of G20 meeting. But this is only a temporary solution just like to solve the paradoxes.
The permanent solution is to discover new sources of Green Energies (with the exception of existent green energies) so that total sum of these Green Energies should be so much more than total sum of fossil fuels + existent green energies and even cheaper because it was proved (August 2008) that fossil fuels were not able to secure the consumers request.
On the other hand, definitely our other problems such as Environmental pollution, Water resources, transportation and so on automatically will be solved be using of these Green Energies.
According to above mentioned, one of the most important obligations is to study, think and research for discovering of these new resources of Green Energies because we all are living on a ship that it is named “ Earth” and unfortunately there is not any another place to live for us now. In fact, superiority to Green Energies is the common problem of all people in the world.
We know that the problems will not be solved by Nervousness, Quarrel, and War. I would like to draw your attention to Art example (1) of this article (Barabbas (1961 film) Directed by: Richard Fleischer), if we actually want to solve the problem, we should accept that we are at the extreme of weakness and the problem is at the extreme of power.
On the other hand, I think that the next approach of financial crisis will be the educational systems in the world and it is very dangerous.


“I believe that every problem will be solved unless it is not actually a problem. In fact, this is the reason behind of writing this article (refer to the example of this article:
x^n + y^n + z^n + t^n + ……..= 0) “

"To be continued..."

Actually, what is the problem? (part4)

If the outsourcing is accompanied by the power centers, we will have the wave (after the flow)
because it has been borrowed Faraday’s law (1831) in physics.
When we have the wave, we can think about Resonance phenomenon because of the existence
of different waves. After that, in very so much high frequency, we cannot observe any wave but
it is the vertical line perpendicular to Time axis where the velocity has not any concept
(Velocity = infinite).
As the outsourcing will save the world, basically Faraday’s law (1831) will guide us to discover
the new resources of energy in the future.


PS: I think, using of the new theories of Quantum mechanics (for instance, string theory, superstring theory, M – theory and so on) in business, MBA, International Management, Systems Dynamic and etc…
before to be changed to the universal law ( having a HP feeder source), will lead us toward a short – term business ( financial crisis) instead of the long – term business ( the stable equilibrium)

(To be continued…)

Actually, what is the problem? (part3)

Referring to the article of "Actually, what is the problem? (part2)", I would like to present two examples about relationship among Art, Philosophy and Mathematics as follows:

- Example (1):

Barabbas (1961 film) Directed by: Richard Fleischer
Referring to the duel between Jack Palance and Anthony Quinn on below link:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_fmFAfcrowU (This link shows you the complete film while you should
watch after the time: 1:34:15)

we can find the strategies as follows:

- Not to move before thinking
- To use of unusual ways to solve of the problem
- To show the situation of rush but not to make an attack
- Don't worry about your tools for solving of the problem but utilize your tools in the best ways

- If we take the thinking accompanied by studying, we will gain the self- reliance.
And so on ….

All of above strategies present a philosophic point that Immanuel Kant (1724 – 1804) said to us: “When we are obliged to think, we are at the extreme of weakness.”

I also used from this philosophic point in negotiation (article of “Some of comments in EPC projects”).

- Example (2):

I think, the movies of “Papillon (1973 film)” directed by: Franklin J. Schaffner and
“Once Upon Time in America (1984 film)” directed by Sergio Leone and so the music of Jean Michel Jarre (1984 – Zoolook – ETHNICOLOR – 01), all of them are
jointly presenting a philosophic point.
Do you know this point?


- Hypothesis (2):

I think, it can be “outsourcing’. (Please see the article of ‘Some of comments in EPC projects”).

(To be continued…)